In this post I will be telling you guys what I think the Miami Dolphins will end up doing in the first few rounds of the draft, and I will follow it with what I want them to do. I am hoping to start some discussion, so don't be shy and please comment with your thoughts after you have read this.
Let me start this off by saying that I think it would be a huge mistake if the Dolphins drafted Alabama RB Mark Ingram with their 15th overall pick. I know that Ingram will be a really good running back and I have heard the Emmitt Smith comparisons, but Miami needs to focus on getting a franchise quarterback instead. There are free agent running backs that should be able to fill in well enough.
But what do I think the Dolphins will do in the draft?
I am betting that they will trade down. Not having a second round pick is a problem, and because of that I expect Miami to trade their 15th overall pick for a later first round pick and a second rounder just like last year. My guess is that they will trade with a team like Seattle, who is stuck with the 25th overall pick because they were in a really bad division and made the playoffs with a losing record.
With the later first pick, I expect the Dolphins to take Ingram if he is on the board, but he likely won't be so I expect them to take the best available QB. Ryan Mallett would probably be their first choice, but I don't think he will be available either because I think Seattle will take him instead.
That leaves Miami to decide between either Jake Locker or Christian Ponder.
This is an extremely hard pick to predict, because Locker is really athletic and can make some really good throws, but he is still an inconsistent passer. Ponder had an extremely good NFL Combine, and many analysts are predicting him to be taken late first round. He also struggles with his touch on longer passes, but he is very accurate on shorter range passes.
I believe that the Dolphins would take Ponder here, but this one could easily go either way.
With the second round pick, I expect the Dolphins to take an offensive lineman. I will just assume that their pick will be Seattle's second round pick at 25. At that point, a lot of the very best offensive linemen prospects will be gone, but two guards that I think would be available are Orlando Franklin of Miami and Marcus Cannon of TCU. Both are really, really good run blockers, and their pass blocking is almost as good.
I see Franklin as the better guard prospect, though, and I think the Dolphins will get him with their pick. In the case that he has already been taken I would expect the Dolphins to take Cannon. Both players would fill a huge need on Miami's interior line and would help to improve last year's terrible run blocking.
That is what I think Miami will end up doing. What I actually want them to do is another thing. I would personally rather that they take Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett with the 15th pick and then worry about the O-line with later picks.
I promise every single one of you that Mallett is the best QB in the draft, and he will be the most successful QB of all of this year's prospects as long as he doesn't go to a team like the Raiders. He has the arm, the passion, and the intensity that all great quarterbacks have. He has some character questions, but it will be worth taking a risk on those questions because of how good of a passer he is.
On a little side note, I think Miami could potentially be halfway set at running back with Kory Sheets. You guys may have forgotten about Sheets(I did until Riverdog reminded me), but he is actually a very good running back who injured his Achilles tendon during Miami's preseason last year.. Sheets is very fast and has great hands, and he could end up doing really well next year if the Dolphins keep him.
That is all I have for now. Thanks for reading, and let me know what you think about my predictions. I would like to know if you guys agree or disagree with me.
My Predictions: What Will The Miami Dolphins Do In The NFL Draft?
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Thursday, March 03, 2011
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Paul Smythe
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My Predictions: What Will The Miami Dolphins Do In The NFL Draft?
2011-03-03T09:24:00-05:00
Paul Smythe
AFC East|Miami Dolphins|NFL|NFL Draft|Paul Smythe|
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Tank0428 · 736 weeks ago
Jordan · 736 weeks ago
PaulSmythe 93p · 736 weeks ago
squalleyhead · 736 weeks ago
Riverdog · 736 weeks ago
I would love to see them move down to recoup the 2 pick, but we need someone to make that trade. I know all of you know that. So I'm going with what we have at this time. I think they will go with an offensive lineman G/C type or maybe a tackle and move Carey inside. Lets not forget we had many guys injured last year. On that injury list with Sheets is Gardner who played pretty good in 09 as a fill in. The team can improve the OL if they get a starter on the line with the first pick. Also remember Ireland has not missed with his first round picks yet. All of them were first day starters or made the line up by the end of the year.
I also think they will draft a QB somewhere in this draft, I look for it to be someone like Ponder, Dalton from TCU, or maybe McElroy of Alabama. All of these guys are further along than Cam Newton. Ponder is a little stiff kinda like Henne, but the other 2 have mobility. Mobility is the key for a NFL QB, they don't need to be runners ( they get paid to pass ) They do need to be able to make the first guy miss, the same as all the skill position players on offense.
Then look for a speed guy WR, or RB it doesn't matter, a TE should be in the mix somewhere. Then another LB inside guy. That is 6 picks and I think that is all they have this year, didn't they give up a 7th rounder for Thiggy ?
Then look for a QB in FA " NO TRADES " of future draft picks unless it's for someone like Palmer who has been slipping down for each of his past few years. If we get Orton or Young do it when they get released.
Quick update they are talking about extending the dead line of the CBA past tonight. Stay tuned !!! Oh this will be my last update on the labor talks until Tuesday. I'm going to Disney World !!! No I didn't win the MVP of the Super Bowl :((
ohiodolpfan · 736 weeks ago
TXDOLFAN · 736 weeks ago
PaulSmythe 93p · 736 weeks ago
Chris · 736 weeks ago
Dereak · 735 weeks ago
louie · 735 weeks ago
has a great arm he was given a bad oc and terrible o line interior no running game and no wr who can strech the fieldno college qb will win this year draft ol andspeddy rec sign brown and hope dallbol is better than henningour deff is pretty good henne numbers are better than sanchez no one running him out of ny .
ivan · 735 weeks ago
Micah Vargo · 734 weeks ago
Micah Vargo
Micah Vargo · 734 weeks ago