I urge any of you guys who think the same way that I do to write letters to Tony Sparano, Jeff Ireland, or Stephen Ross. They need to know that we want them to take Mallett, and a letter is a good way to tell them.
Anyway, I wanted to show you guys this incredible argument that I found in a Sun Sentinel blog post written by Mike Berardino. Mike didn't actually write it, though. It was written by a Joe W. Here is the segment written by Joe, and I encourage you guys to go to the actual post that I have linked in this paragraph to support Joe.
"I did a little QB research project today that I thought I'd share. Here’s what I did:
1.) I took the top 10 NFL QB's for each year for the past 5 years (2010-2006) based on QB Rating.
2.) I then determined which players appeared in the top 10 the most times. There were 8 QB's that showed up 3 or more times in the past 5 years that are still playing football (Kurt Warner retired).
3.) I then went back and researched what their final 2 years of college stats were.
4.) I compared those stats to the current 2011 college crop of QB prospects to try and get an idea of what prospects compare favorably, i.e. what guys have the best chance of being the future greats of the NFL based on their last 2 years of college production.
Results: The 8 QB's that have been in the Top 10 the most for the past 5 years averaged the following in their final 2 years of college: Comp: 64.5% Yards: 6,513 Y/A: 8.00 yards per attempt TD's: 50 total TD's the final 2 years of college TD/Int Ratio of 2.47.
There was one player that came close to all these averages: Andy Dalton: 64%, 5600 yds, 50 TD's 3.57 TD/Int ratio. He's also started the most games out of all the QB's (49), which I believe has also been proven to be correlated to NFL success.
The only other guy that compares favorably is Ryan Mallett (7500 yds, 62 TD's, 3.26 TD/Int ratio), but his completion % (60.3%) was lower than the average.
However, when looking at the Top 8 QB's the ones that had the lower completion % in the final 2 years of college, Peyton Manning (62%), Drew Brees (61%), also had the top total TD's, 57 and 51 respectively. Guys like Ben Roethlisberger and Tony Romo had high completion % (66%, 65%, respectively) and total TD's (59 TD, 55 TD, respectively), but they also didn't play in a major Division 1 conference like Manning/Brees and the others.
When looking at Mallett's JR/SR stats compared to the other top 8 NFL QB's three things stand out:
1.) His 62 total TD's the past 2 years in college are better than any of the Top 8 QB's. The most JR/SR total TD’s belonged to Big Ben (59 TD's), but again, he didn't play in a big time conference. The number two player was Peyton Manning with 57. And since he played in the SEC, the production of Mallett is all the more impressive.
2.) Mallett's 9.21 YPA number is greater than any of the Top 8 NFL QB's. This again reinforces what I saw on film that Mallett is prone to push the ball downfield and create big plays vs. the standard dink and dunk. However, he's admitted that mentality is what caused his poor JR completion numbers (56%) and he focused on that in his senior year. That focus helped his completion jump to 65% while his Yards per Attempt also increased from 9.0 to 9.4. Again, impressive.
3.) Mallett's 7500 passing yds were only exceeded by Big Ben (7725) and Drew Brees (7577), but since Big Ben played in the MAC his production gets discounted a bit.
So, in summary on Mallett, in his final 2 years of college he threw for more TD's, more yards and had a higher yards per attempt than any of the top 10 QB's currently playing in the NFL. I’d say that's about as favorable comparison as you're going to get. It's equally impressive that he produced these numbers in the SEC, the toughest conference in college football, and not some lesser conference (TCU-Mountain West Conference), which is what you generally find with many other college QB's who have put up gaudy stats.
One final note, if Cam Newton played 2 years he might have been at the beginning of this report. His 66% completion %, 30 TD's, 10.2 yards per attempt and 4.3 TD/Int ratio were all close to the top of the 2010 stats. However, the question will always be if he was a one year wonder or could have sustained this level of play for another year.
P.S. – For all the talk of mobility and 40 times with QB's, in 2010 Cam Newton was sacked 23 times and Mallett, all 5.4 in the 40, was only sacked 25 times against the same competition."
Once again, I didn't write the above work. That was all credit to Joe W. Here is a link to the post again. I encourage you guys to go and read it:
http://blogs.sun-sentinel.com/sports_seasonticket/2011/03/joe-w-and-the-case-for-drafting-ryan-mallett-for-the-miami-dolphins.html/comment-page-1#comment-219053
And, if by chance you ever read this Joe, please email me at paul@dolphinshout.com. I would love for you to be a writer for Dolphin Shout.
Now, let me know what you guys think. Does this make you think any better about Mallett?
Thanks for reading.
Bill · 733 weeks ago
jordan · 733 weeks ago
Riverdog · 733 weeks ago
Jordan brings something up that I think gets forgotten at times. The difference between the Pros and College football is greater than any other sport. The NFL has the best players in the world playing in the NFL. Their isn't a European league like Basketball has, Their isn't another Pro Baseball league like in Japan. Hockey has a number of Pro leagues around the world. But Football is different the best of the best all play in the NFL and the step up from College ball to the Pros is like night and day.
Ryan Mallett may have played against 1 or 2 really good defensive players a game. In the NFL all the players are as good or better than the best players he has ever seen at the College level. You just never know, but I will say this of the leading QB prospects out there Ryan Mallett is the most ready along with the best arm of any of QB coming into the league. That includes Newton and Gabbert. If he is there at 15 Miami IMO is going to have to take him.
Related to what Jordan said above take a look at this.
1. comp: 61.35% YARDS 7206 Y/A 7.55 per pass TDs 71 TD/INT ratio of 3.08
2.comp: 66.9% YARDS 7594 Y/A 8.25 per pass TDs 59 TD/INT ratio of 2.80
In order their names were ANDRE WARE AND JOHN BECK.
Interesting isn't it !!!!
jordan · 733 weeks ago
Finzone · 733 weeks ago
Finzone · 733 weeks ago
onebaud 34p · 733 weeks ago
Shawn · 733 weeks ago
Riverdog · 733 weeks ago
No one knows if they can read defenses pre snap or while on the move. That is one of Henne's problems. Judging by his progress it's not an easy thing to learn, after 3 years I would think he would be catching on to what is happening but it doesn't look that way.
Rey · 733 weeks ago
Gary · 733 weeks ago
PaulSmythe 93p · 733 weeks ago
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Riverdog · 733 weeks ago
I must say this because it dominates the way I view the draft. If Miami or any pro team drafts a player in the first round I expect that player to start the season as a starter. In the draft position Miami is in and with the holes that need filling Miami has 2 glaring needs. Running back which can be partially solved with resigning R or R, replacing them with any of the FAs that will some day come free, or finding a guy in the draft. I don't see it being Ingram because of his lack of speed. The other need is for a inside Olineman, and there are plenty of them from the 15 spot on down. Also there will be one of the better WR available at the 15 spot. Wouldn't it be nice to have Julius Jones, or AJ Green in a Dolphin uniform ?
Gary · 733 weeks ago
Tenfinfan · 733 weeks ago
1. I have never seen him perform well on the big stage. Liberty Bowl 2010 against East Carolina. Scraped out a wind only because Carolina kicker missed (4) FIELD GOALS. A pedestrian 17/28 WITH 2TDS AND 1 int. 9/25/10- Alabama at Arkansas. 1 TD, 3 Int's in a loss at home. 10/16 @ Auburn knocked out first half in a big loss. 1/4/11 Sugar Bowl Mallet went 24/47 for 277 2 TD and (1) Int in a loss on the big stage. Where is the greatness here.
2. Someone please explain how Mallets Press interview at the combine translates to success in the NFL. This is the guy we want leading our team. I saw a guy who had character issues and presented a terrible image. In fact one of the worst QB interviews I've ever seen at a combine. Ok so the guy can throw the ball 80 yards. So could Russell. That worked out pretty well. Not who I want leading my team.
Shawn · 733 weeks ago
TXDOLFAN · 733 weeks ago
Dean · 733 weeks ago
Finzone · 733 weeks ago
David McCauley · 727 weeks ago
RazorbackDave
PaulSmythe 93p · 727 weeks ago